Tuesday, May 24, 2011

Good news on crime

NYT reports that violent crime in the US dropped again last year and is now at the lowest level in 40 years.  Robbery and murder rates have fallen by more than half since the 1990s.  Experts are perplexed as to why this is happening, especially since the prevailing wisdom among criminologists is that crime rises when economic conditions deteriorate.  Also, a smaller percentage of the population is incarcerated now than three years ago -- and many would expect more crime with more ex-cons on the loose. 

Cynical hunch: how long before we see an expert blaming the drop in crime on climate change?  The same logic seems to pass scrutiny in the media for other once-in-40-years phenomena (e.g., tornadoes). 

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