Thursday, December 11, 2014

November job numbers: Let's party like its 1999!

I have always been cautious about making too much out of one jobs report, but the numbers reported last Friday merit serious attention.  We now have a string of consecutive months with strong increases in employment.  Unless the last 20 days of December turn out to be an unforeseen disaster, 2014 will be the best year for job growth since 1999.  

Two more reasons for optimism:
1) Wage growth is becoming more widespread.  More jobs is nice; more people making more money is even nicer.
2) The unemployment rate did not go down.  This is good news because it means that more people have entered the labor force looking for jobs.

Friday, December 5, 2014

Supply and demand for truckers

Spending the morning at the NC State Poole College of Management's semi-annual Supply Chain Resource Cooperative meeting.  Lots of great student projects for companies like CAT, Duke Energy, GSK, MetLife and others.

One topic that has come up repeatedly is the shortage of truckers and the increasing difficulty firms are having with this critical transportation mode.  At the same time, the percentage of young people who are participating in the labor force is at a 30 year low.

So what is stopping young people (or even not so young) from entering the profession?  (I have posted on this topic before.) Lots of theories were offered.  Part of the story is that training is expensive to obtain (but there are student loans); another part is that many potential job candidates cannot pass background checks and drug tests (maybe, but I would like to see some numbers).  One new theory offered by Jason Schenker (economist and regular SCRC speaker) -- Xbox addiction.